Fresno State vs Boise State

Mountain West Championship odds: Fresno State vs Boise State picks, predictions from expert who’s 8-2 on Broncos games

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It’s a rematch for the Mountain West Conference championship as Boise State hosts Fresno State in a clash of top-25 teams on Saturday at 7:45 p.m. ET. The Broncos are favored by two in the latest Boise State vs. Fresno State odds, with the over-under at 53, up four from the opening line. The Broncos handed the Bulldogs their only MWC loss of the season, 24-17 on Nov. 9, and beat them in last year’s MWC Championship Game, 17-14. Boise State has won seven straight, while Fresno State has won nine of 10, so before you make your own Boise State vs. Fresno State picks and predictions, you’ll want to hear what Vegas legend Micah Roberts has to say.

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Roberts has worked in the Las Vegas sportsbook industry for 20 years, including a 13-year run as Station Casinos’ book director. Armed with an unmatched network of sources, he’s crushed college football for SportsLine since 2016, and that’s especially true when it comes to games involving Boise State. He’s 8-2 on spread picks for or against the Broncos, including when he took San Diego State (+14) in a 19-13 straight-up Aztecs victory in October. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Roberts has scrutinized Boise State vs. Fresno State from every possible angle to reveal a strong point-spread pick that he’s sharing only at SportsLine. 

Roberts knows Boise State’s offense has been tough to slow down this season. The Broncos are averaging 37 points per game, led by quarterback Brett Rypien, who was named the Mountain West Offensive Player of the Year. The senior quarterback heads into Saturday’s game with 3,580 passing yards on 68.8 percent passing with 29 touchdowns, ranking in the top 10 nationally.

His backfield mate, running back Alexander Mattison, was a first-team All-MWC pick. He has gained 1,215 yards rushing with 16 touchdowns, tops in the MWC. Mattison has been red-hot in his last five games, recording 714 yards and nine touchdowns during that span.

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Fresno State’s defense has been dominant all season. The Broncos’ 24 points were the second-most the unit has allowed all season – the most was 27 by Toledo in an easy 22-point Fresno victory on Sept. 29. Junior linebacker Jeff Allison was named MWC Defensive Player of the Year, while defensive back Anthoula Kelly and defensive end Mykal Walker were first-teamers as well. Allison registered 109 tackles.

Fresno State’s offense doesn’t garner the awards like Boise State’s, but the Bulldogs enter Saturday’s showdown averaging 36.3 points per game. Bulldogs QB Marcus McMaryion filled up the stat sheet this season, completing 70.5 percent of his passes for 3,283 yards, 24 touchdowns and only three interceptions.

We can tell you Roberts is leaning toward the under, but he has also unearthed the crucial x-factor that makes one side of the spread a must-back. He’s only sharing his pick over at SportsLine.

Who covers in Boise State vs. Fresno State? And which crucial x-factor causes one side of the spread to hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you should jump on, all from a seasoned expert who’s nailed eight of his last 10 spread picks involving the Broncos, and find out.